@article{dirkson2025we,
  title = {Are we misdiagnosing ensemble forecast reliability? On the insufficiency of Spread-Error and rank-based reliability metrics},
  author = {Arlan Dirkson and Mark Buehner},
  year = {2025},
  eprint = {2512.02160},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.02160},
}